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You will always be wondering if you should have bought this stock, if you should have sold that stock or if you should hold on to a stock. As time goes on your gut will give you more and more, but the stock exchange is a wondering game, so don’t let that wondering stop you from getting involved now.

Making money on the stock market requires experience, practice, patience, education and skills. It’s best that you start with some basic research. That basic research will give you more knowledge and as time goes by you will find yourself learning more and more. You need to learn the basics to get to that point.

Being a beginner is much easy today than it ever has been. Now being a beginner is much easy because of the Internet you can now start by entering the stock market online. To get you started we have compiled a list of things to do for online stock market trading of Marijuana Penny Stock Trading for beginners.

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* If you are a beginner, online stock trading can be scarey. The very first thing you need to do is read this list and go through our advice, you will then feel comfortable to build on our advice and make your own way.

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* The second point in our guide for online stock trading for beginners is to find out about your markets. Learn about Marijuana penny Stock Trading United States, forex trading, what kind of markets are available at the moment. You can do this by signing up to free newsletters and looking about websites. You might also want to get familiar with local and not so local business newspapers. You don’t have to purchase them, you can generally find out about these newspapers online and read them on their websites.

* Online stock trading can be worrying for a beginner who has done all the reading and in most cases it would be beneficial for you to make contact with a few online traders. Online Penny Stock traders will generally charge you less in commissions because they don’t have to spend many man hours with you. You need make sure your trader will offer you up to date information and perhaps send you notification when your stocks go up, down, should be sold or have been sold.

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So far as I can tell, President Donald Trump has done little to change the circumstances that led him to declare in April 2016 that the U.S. was headed for "a very massive recession." His promise of "big league" tax reform has been described by a lobbyist as "a big nothing burger."

Trump's opinion as a candidate could be of importance to you as an investor. He said last year: "It's a terrible time right now to invest in the stock market."

Hear! Hear!

If Trump was right then, his conclusion would seem to be even more valid now.

Today's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, or CAPE, is 29.27, as compared to an already high 25.92 in April of last year when Trump warned that the market was dangerous.

Under sane and sound conditions, the performance of individual stocks is determined by the execution of their business plans - not by political authorities or the unelected mandarins at the Federal Reserve.

As they talk about "draining the swamp" of crony capitalism, politicians should not be manipulating your stock portfolio. But they are. Or at least they are trying.

Historical Bubbles

I have made a hobby of studying past stock market manias looking for clues to help you get a better view of when the current bubble may end, and the likely consequences. As you know, we have not experienced sane and sound conditions for years.

Quite the contrary. As you are aware, we are in the midst of the biggest stock bubble in American history. In all probability, it is the biggest stock bubble in human history.

Some might suppose that the Wall Street market crash of 1929 ended the biggest bubble ever. It was the first stock mania in the era of American hegemony. The Allied victory in World War I, in conjunction with the impairment of British financial capabilities, set the stage for euphoric optimism in the Roaring Twenties.

President Herbert Hoover, who was praised by economist John Maynard Keynes as the only person to emerge from the Versailles Peace Conference with his reputation enhanced, was widely despised for causing the Great Depression. It is now forgotten that the worldwide depression supposedly started by Hoover's inability to head off the stock market collapse of 1929 was already underway as early as 1927.

Commodity-producing economies on the periphery, such as Argentina, Australia and Brazil, along with troubled European economies, notably Germany, had already sunk into depression.

The excess capacity in commodity production, stimulated by the breakdown of trade in World War I, depressed prices for producers.

This commodity depression was reflected in the crash of the London stock market, which mainly capitalized the operations of hard and soft commodity producers throughout the British Empire, and preceded Wall Street's October 1929 plunge by a month.

An Inescapable Bubble

Weakness in commodities is likely to precede the next big crash. Of course, that opens the door to trouble at almost any time. Industrial commodities, particularly iron, copper and oil, have been chronically weak.

Unlike the run-up to the 1929 crash, the current weakness in commodity prices is mainly attributable to the opening of the Chinese economy, in conjunction with the quantitative easing policies of the Fed and central banks in other advanced economies.

Those actions resulted in the lowest interest rates seen in 5,000 years! Add in the demand from China, ramped up by promiscuous credit expansion, and you have a recipe for massive commodity expansion and overcapacity.

China consumed more cement between 2011 and 2013 than what was used in the United States in the entire 20th century. Similarly exaggerated demand for iron, copper and other industrial commodities underpinned huge expansions of capacity and debt levels.

A recent report by Andrew Brown, partner for macro and strategy at ShoreVest Capital Partners, concludes that it is China's turn to deflate its credit excesses. These are arguably the most extreme in history. China created debt equivalent to 139% of its gross domestic product between the first quarter of 2009 and the third quarter of 2014 when Chinese growth peaked. This debt explosion was far in excess of the debt created in other major credit bubbles around the globe.

China's excess credit, as measured by the Bank for International Settlements, is equivalent to about $3.1 trillion. The bubble is unquestionably a feature of current stock markets.

A Crash Is Coming

Once a bubble has been inflated, I know of no example where one was calmly deflated, short of a crash. Of course, that doesn't mean that everyone must be equally affected.

Note that some experts have suggested that the late 1990s dot-com boom was a bigger bubble than today because the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the Nasdaq in 1999 was higher. As true as that statistic is, it paints a false picture. The reason?

Over the last 18 years, the powers that be have tweaked accounting standards to permit companies a greater latitude in declaring fanciful earnings. The result?

If you adjusted the earnings of S&P 500 companies to reflect the generally accepted accounting principles in force in 1999, today's earnings would shrivel by at least half.

That would make the market about two times more expensive than it already is. So a P/E of 29 today, using 1999's accounting standards, would be 58 or higher!

Prudence suggests backing out of unhedged passive long investments in the U.S. market.

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Before I can tell you the advantages and disadvantages of trading futures, it's important to understand how it differs from trading stocks.

When you buy a stock, you own part of the company. That is, you share ownership with other investors. That's why we say you buy shares.

Trading futures, on the other hand, requires a contract to buy or sell the commodity in the future. That's why they are called futures.

You can buy or sell those futures contracts as easily as trading stocks. For that matter, you don't even have to lay out the money. However, you do tie up resources in the form of margin.

The problem is that the margin held is nowhere near the actual value of the commodity if you were to purchase it. This is known as the Notional Value. It's calculated as the market value multiplied by the leverage.

Okay, I just threw you two more terms that need definition:

The market value is the price that traders are willing to pay. In general, this is determined by supply and demand. The leverage is the number of units of the future index.

For example, the E-Mini SP& 500 Futures has a leverage of 50. As of this writing it's trading near a market value of 2100. Multiply that by the leverage (50) and you get $105,000. That's the Notional Value of the E-Mini S&P.

As you can see, if you buy one E-Mini S&P contract, you are controlling $105,000 in value. However, unlike stocks, you don't own it. You just have a contract to buy or sell it, depending if you went long or short.

Low Margin Required

What did you actually pay? That's known as the margin that the broker requires you to hold while that trade is active. It varies, but it's around $5,000.

If you bought a stock valued at $105,000 you'd have to pay $105,000. If you used margin, it would still require a payment of half of that. The advantage with futures is that you only tie up a small fraction.

However, the disadvantage is that you need to know what you're doing. If you let a Futures trade get away from you, you are liable for a huge investment. Remember, it's a contract.

That's why traders buy and sell Futures contracts without actually ever buying the commodity.

What's the disadvantage?

When trading futures you have to apply your due diligence in knowing the notional value of the future contract.

If you don't pay attention to the Notional Value, and a trade keeps going against you and you don't close the trade at a small loss, it can get out of hand.

You could end up losing a lot of money in a short time. If you reach the limits of your margin, your broker will close the trade if you don't. That means you've been taken out of the market and you may not have the resources to get back in. Game over!

For this reason, you need to stay small. Don't add to bad trades hoping to lower your cost bases. Rather, just admit that you were wrong and you'll be around to play another day when an opportunity arises.

Advantages?

There are many, and these are the reasons why I love futures over stocks. The rest of this article will briefly list the advantages with trading futures.

Trading Long and Short

Going short with Futures is just as easy as going long. It's just a matter of deciding in which direction you think the market is headed.

No Day Trading Limits

There is no day trading limit with Futures. Stocks can only be traded three times in a day before the IRS considers you a day trader. Futures can be bought and sold any number of times in a day, allowing one to take quick profits and benefit from intraday swings.

No Wash Sales Penalties

The IRS does not penalize you for taking a loss and reentering the same trade within 30 days. When this is done with stocks it is considered a wash sale and you lose the benefit of deducting the loss unless you can carry it forward to a future gain on the same stock.

The reason why it's not penalized for Futures is because Futures pricing are recorded as Marked to Market. I won't get into that here. You can always do a Google search for the term if interested.

Trading 24 hours

Futures trade nearly around the clock, except on weekends and short periods in between for exchange record keeping.

European Style Trading

Stock Options follow the American Style that can be exercised anytime. When trading stock options, one needs to be careful to avoid being exercised if the option is in the money.

Most Futures Options trade European Style, which can't be exercised before expiration. There are some exceptions, especially with weeklies. That's beyond the scope of this article though.

Tax Advantage

Futures and Options on Futures are treated according to IRS Section 1256. That provides a tax advantage since 60% of all gains are considered Long Term. This is true even if held for just a few seconds.


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